Forecast Discussion / NWS-Twin Cities
134
FXUS63 KMPX 300532
AFDMPX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1232 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Quiet and relatively cooler in the 50s and 60s through Friday,
warming to the 70s and 80s Saturday onward.
- Chance for showers late tomorrow into Thursday, otherwise dry
through the weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 243 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
Skies have cleared out nicely across the region today with northwest
flow sending some much cooler temperatures our way. Northwest winds
have diminished from this morning and will continue to do so
overnight before taking on a southerly direction. Lowered overnight
lows a bit due to the light winds and clear skies. Outlying areas of
east central Minnesota and western Wisconsin may approach the
freezing mark by Wednesday morning. Temperatures recover quickly
with WAA in place with highs back in the 60s and low 70s. A
disturbance passing well to our south will bring cloud cover to
southern and central Minnesota and western Wisconsin by late
morning. There are some low (20-30%) PoPs across southern Minnesota
Wednesday afternoon and evening. These showers will continue to
spread eastward overnight with QPF totals under 0.10". Further to
the northwest, a cold front will approach western Minnesota
overnight, with widespread 20-40% PoPs through Thursday evening as
the front moves across the state. QPF amounts are again minimal with
a few hundredths expected.
Following the cold front, we look to remain dry through early next
week. Friday`s highs will top out in the 50s with Saturday morning
lows dropping to near freezing. This may be our last time seeing
at/below freezing temps for the season for the CWA. On average, MSP
typically sees its last freeze April 28th, while STC and EAU hold
out a little longer into the first week of May. Temperatures climb
through the weekend with widespread 70s Saturday and mid 70s to low
80s on Sunday with ample sunshine. Above normal temperatures will
continue through the beginning of the week with the 500mb ridge
parked on top of the central CONUS. There are no strong signals for
another widespread precip event through the first week of the month,
which is reflected in the CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks with below
normal precip and above normal temperatures.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1227 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
VFR with light and southeasterly winds this evening. Between
8-10AM Wednesday, winds will turn more southerly and increase
to 10-15kts with gusts ranging 20-25kts. A disturbance
approaches from the south late Wednesday, which will advect in
some SCT/BKN VFR clouds but expect dry conditions during this
period.
KMSP...After midnight Wednesday, cigs will begin to drop into
the upper MVFR range (020-030) ahead of a disturbance that may
bring light rain later in the day (outside of this TAF period).
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
THU...MVFR, chc -SHRA. Wind NW 10-15kts.
FRI...VFR. Wind N 5-10 kts.
SAT...VFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Dye
AVIATION...PV
NWS MPX Office Area Forecast Discussion
"
